BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 133 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we’ve got a 13-fight card in Boise, Idaho. It’s headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, that will be making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card because it’s just a Fight Night card using lesser known title, but there is still well over $100k to be obtained. I will be pursuing my fair share of the money and I hope you guys will be too. Here are a few plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of the week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I believe Volkanovski is the”safest” play on this particular card and also his -300 betting line would agree with me. That’s where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I will figure out the rest from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points during his first four UFC fights so he’s got a ton of upside as well. He could potential score over two other winners on this particular card combined. I really do think he is in drama for GPPs too for that reason, but he will likely be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we don’t care about possession as much in money games. I’d suggest paying up for the costly cost in your money games and I then look for three or more others wins you are confident in.
GPP play of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to be the way better striker inside this struggle and I believe this is where the fight will take place. He can get KO’d in the opening minutes of the fight and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP drama instead of a cash game play. With these two Heavyweights, we should likely see a KO within the 25-minues and I feel the former champion, JDS, are the one to get it. He has great takedown defense so he ought to be able to maintain this fight on the feet where he will have a 4-inch achieve benefit to work with.
Underdog drama of the week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko will be my underdog play of this week. The chances indicate that the fight ought to be rather close and there’s a good chance he uses his wrestling to gain the advantage. In 5 fights that he hasn’t seen a decision however, and there is a possibility it remains that way if he receives Brown into the floor. Niko has some slick submissions in his arsenal along with a great deal of heart. On the feet, Brown likely has the advantage with his reach, but Cost does have any sneaky power too, which can not be overlooked. Overall, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of this week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he is just $100 cheaper than Volkanovski. In my view, Perez will need a finish to really have a shot at paying off that expensive salary and I don’t wish to invest in that, personally. He has never landed more than one takedown at a fight and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, so we must see this fight take place on the toes. I believe Perez needs to be the person to receive his hands raised in the end but I think that it will be through decision. If that’s true then he can score ~60 points in a win, and at $9.1k that isn’t going to win anyone a tournament. I’ll be complete fading Perez this week and hoping he does not get the end and he is my official fade of the week.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on every fight, my private approaches & recommendations, and also my selection prediction for every fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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