NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 preferred to collect another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix odds after a strong start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, make sure you check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and current results into consideration.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including properly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events in iconic venues like ISM Raceway are in his bloodstream. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the version is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a target for anyone searching for a huge payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win last year and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to a 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has shown impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in one of the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out a year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place finish at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among the shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this particular track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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