NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at two p.m. ET for the 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four final week in the Daytona 500. Before you make your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, be sure to have a look at the projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

– Advertisement –

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it’s off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top contender from the beginning. Anyone who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could inform you the version is high on Chase Elliott, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he has had success there at all three of his starts at the track since joining the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished within the top 10 in each of these races and even earned a top-five finish in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it is something of a home monitor for its 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that advantage to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the rod in this race a season ago, but wound up finishing in seventh position. The year before, he had yet another quick ride in qualifying and started the race in third, but wound up in 16th.

Considering his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has only conducted 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll want to pay for him.

The version is also targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta chances of 10-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.

Read more: sportsnewsking.com