Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites at +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing 2018 loop information and benefits, we handicap the race and also give a championship pick.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to fight for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one championship in their professions, while Logano is trying to secure his first.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past season. Logano scored two wins himself, but awakened 25 top-10 endings to earn his shot at Homestead.

Employing historical loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to determine the best bet to acquire the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a few additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 mph, there actually are not any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers progressive banking, which allows many lines to run , together with the lane the fastest.

The track surface itself is also quite abrasive, and which makes new rubber a massive advantage and wears out tires.

With tire wear creating cars hard to drive and progressive banking allowing drivers to choose unique lines, passing is simpler here than most other 1.5-mile tracks which are too reliant upon aero for pace and therefore make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I chose to analyze the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races may seem a bit arbitrary, but that amount was picked on by me . First, 2014 was the first year that NASCAR went to the current playoff format where drivers progress through the playoff of the sport until four stay to race .

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