UFC FN150 Betting Tips & Plays

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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the feet and a durable way to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but contrary to the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated aggressive striker for the branch, he was very competitive. Perry is powerful in the clinch but his takedown defense is still unproven against a legitimate grappler. Cowboy could harness the floor game as he has underrated wrestling, but he tends to struggle unpredictable gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a common issue and here against Perry that might be a big mistake. He has big electricity himself but both men are quite hittable. On the feet it probably favours Perry, at least for the first half of the fight when he’s most dangerous. Look for a back and on war, together with all the durability of Perry which makes the gap — as both men absorb deep damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a three battle losing streak but has been competitive in all fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. In 40 years old he brings a not as aggressive style these days that has lead to six consecutive choices. His output looks to be slowing his exact boxing style stays, allowing him to work behind a jab against slower competitions. Sakai is considerably younger so could still be improving, but so far has failed to impress. He’s big and yells powerful yet slow helpless strikes, with low volume. Mostly a boxer, Arlovski won’t need to be worried about too many different weapons.
This is likely to be a slow fight with the more effective striker coming out on top. Look for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai from the exterior or utilize his wrestling to maintain him against the weapon. If he can avoid becoming caught a decision here is probably for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski in 2.30 (+130) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a serious BJJ blackbelt making her UFC introduction with a 14-0 record. She’s jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst limited with striking, she is relentless with takedowns and has a wide variety of techniques to acquire fights to the ground. On top she is very solid, maintaining control and attacking subs. That is obviously a massive step up in competition from Invicta against Esparza, a real veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not displayed great takedown shield to match her wrestling skills. She’d be best to attempt to keep this battle standing where her enhanced striking should be able to edge out volume.
Jandiroba isn’t shown at this level but looks like the real deal, demonstrating outstanding method and composure. Worst case situation Esparza is able to defend off her back and make scrambles to force dramatic exchanges, taking us into a close choice. A much better position is Jandiroba dominating with her high control and procuring a unanimous decision or finding a submission. An Esparza end is very unlikely. Given the chances and various paths to victory, a shot to the newcomer at even money is fantastic value.

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