BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Canada. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will try to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k prize, then I will probably have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is undoubtedly the safest play in the board this week and she also has 100+ stage upside down. She is a lock in my money matches this week and that I actually don’t really see the way she loses. I think a submission would be Moras’ best chance but she isn’t capable of finding the battle to the ground, so I see her becoming dominated on the toes until the ref steps in. She’s by far my favourite play at the $9k range and she is a -750 on the gambling line. I enjoy playing it safer in cash games and I believe she’s a secure triumph this week.
GPP drama of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is a simple one for me this week and he will be the chalk of this week. I’ll still be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we need on DraftKings. He has a nonstop pace and he shoots takedowns very often. He has 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights and that is his best route to victory in this matchup too. Even with 2 losses on his album from those 3 fights, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP play of the week since I know he’s going to win, I just know IF he wins that he will score highly, and he needs to easily reach value within an $8.6k price .
Underdog drama of this week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I must pick Cowboy as the dog of the week. His struggles are always action packed along with the winner of this fight will surely be about the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to use here. I don’t see a circumstance where he wins and doesn’t wind up on the $25k lineup. I will be obese on Saturdays this week, but this is an all-in fight for me. If Cowboy isn’t in one of my lineups, then you will see Iaquinta there. I will be thicker on the Cowboy side though and I think he gets the job done by entry.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be very surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st location lineup this week. I’d be surprised to see him get 10x his $8k cost and that is the reason why I will have zero lineups with this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins earlier that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is just not good for DraftKings. He is going to have to knock Brunson out if he is going to score highly and that he is not a power puncher. I believe you are better off carrying Elias by TKO on the gambling line at +870. I really don’t find any reason to spend in him this week at GPPs since he doesn’t possess the ceiling we would like to win that big $25k. I think he is fine in money games as a 65-point win would not kill us . However he’s an easy fade of this week for me Saturday.
Thank you for reading this and great luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I am 71-45 for +233.79un (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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