View the MMABETMACHINE Stakes for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years old, Burgos is coming into his prime as he chooses on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a substantial reach benefit of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably bigger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is more specialized with crisp combinations and dangerous power. He’s a fantastic camp but his main weakness seems to be shield, where he has left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in many recent conflicts.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and crazy fighter and his style looks to fight against more technical competition. He’s on a significant losing streak where he has looked vulnerable and flat in each struggle. It appears Cub is really on a a downturn that’s not surprising given his age in a division where speed is king. It should be noted that many of Cub’s losses have come to high 10 opposition, but it’s his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This battle should be entertaining with both men eager to stand and commerce. In the unlikely event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances this could be a close fight, but we expect to see a declining veteran who can’t keep up with the more technical youthful talent. Back Burgos to get the win , probably from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and also the hometown fighter is taking about the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking compared to his opponent and holds a BJJ blackbelt. In his career he hasn’t revealed the best initial takedown defense however he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he has shown a strong ability to get back to his feet. Dvalishvili is essential standing, mostly throwing his looping right hand to set up degree changes. He averages a absurd quantity of takedown attempts each struggle, compounded by the fact that he struggles to keep top position for extended periods.
In this fight it’s likely Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has plenty of skills to prevent getting stuck on his back. More time on the toes for Katona means he will be in control, landing damage and accumulating rounds. This should be a close fight where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and united with the fact he’s fighting up a division his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a significant edge in every area of the battle. On the feet he is defensively noise and struggles long using his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the distance. Prepolec enjoys to get in near but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he ought to be receptive to counters in Taleb. Size are also a big factor in which Prepolec has shown a tendency to escape out in the grappling department by far smaller and not as gifted fighters compared to Taleb. This is probably his safest path to success where he probably dominates to establish a finish. On short notice debut there are just too many obstacles to overcome and whilst the odds are short, this seems to be a simple win.
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